Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 104.880658 119.056012 134.644689 153.093017 174.372463 198.197530 226.963674
2026-02-08 83.103609 101.317610 122.982023 150.777301 185.673666 228.270639 284.565833
2026-02-15 71.561036 91.785262 117.228615 151.840983 198.087775 258.292252 343.487030
2026-02-22 63.810671 85.262240 113.504963 153.813371 210.518432 288.419551 405.226851
2026-03-01 56.037243 77.451261 106.729048 150.227432 214.141628 306.067661 450.950587
2026-03-08 50.041328 71.250163 101.228839 147.386801 217.902209 323.606444 497.941057
2026-03-15 45.544398 66.620103 97.327423 146.179784 223.542586 344.057655 551.459691
2026-03-22 43.396507 65.166329 97.837558 151.512119 239.586014 382.140575 638.176992
2026-03-29 41.276299 63.498520 97.772626 155.787481 254.198545 419.327057 728.170729
2026-04-05 38.336516 60.247198 94.868036 155.048029 260.211680 442.487165 796.162808
2026-04-12 36.130870 57.957114 93.257944 156.220361 269.477791 472.117499 879.820837
2026-04-19 33.784251 55.220685 90.641513 155.337368 274.880143 495.196933 953.813515
2026-04-26 31.744705 53.024918 89.070226 156.752466 285.802824 532.075593 1065.815366
2026-05-03 29.252108 49.854718 85.566421 154.378564 289.514384 556.040687 1156.301914
2026-05-10 27.557821 47.920149 84.039422 155.470489 299.999663 594.768485 1285.294588
2026-05-17 26.165548 46.391036 83.078888 157.495044 312.527954 639.327914 1435.380818
2026-05-24 24.167053 43.567121 79.440805 153.814328 312.737092 657.523358 1526.711613
2026-05-31 22.462940 41.149916 76.352492 150.898788 314.173182 678.527037 1628.631148
2026-06-07 21.114654 39.299192 74.192070 149.659987 319.087557 708.041648 1757.600907
2026-06-14 20.612607 39.049078 75.159924 155.132943 339.738455 777.351630 2005.175407
2026-06-21 20.022111 38.569864 75.613277 159.521432 358.433368 844.737508 2261.722806
2026-06-28 18.972851 37.076570 73.843798 158.762390 364.767622 882.140787 2440.471336
2026-07-05 18.184828 36.057679 72.979568 159.965784 376.036275 933.927683 2673.050592